Page "Medicare (United States)" Paragraph 126

This measure involves only Part A.

The trust fund is considered insolvent when available revenue plus any existing balances will not cover 100 percent of annual projected costs.

According to the latest estimate by the Medicare trustees ( 2011 ), the trust fund is expected to become insolvent in 13 years ( 2024 ), at which time available revenue will cover 90 percent of annual projected costs.

Since Medicare began, this solvency projection has ranged from two to 28 years, with an average of 11. 3 years.