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Page "Gambler's fallacy" ¶ 28
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odds and for
But beginning, for all practical purposes, with Frederick Seebohm's English Village Community scholars have had to reckon with a theory involving institutional and agrarian continuity between Roman and Anglo-Saxon times which is completely at odds with the reigning concept of the Anglo-Saxon invasions.
Even if we strip their respective claims to the barest minimum, the `` odds '' still favor them both, for the trend in effect is always more likely to continue than to reverse.
It is a simple matter, for one so disposed, to take a work like The Sane Society and shred it into odds and ends.
Dalassena was the effective administrator of the Empire during Alexios ' long absences in military campaigns: she was constantly at odds with her daughter-in-law and had assumed total responsibility for the upbringing and education of her granddaughter Anna Komnene.
As bookmakers become more proficient, the odds of making an ' arb ' usually last for less than an hour and typically only a few minutes.
Billy Graham ( evangelist ) | Billy Graham, who attended BJU for one semester, was later at odds with the University
if a Catholic were to be at odds with the Holy Father on the application of capital punishment or on the decision to wage war, he would not for that reason be considered unworthy to present himself to receive Holy Communion.
Winning come bets are paid the same as winning pass line bets-even money for the original bet and true odds for the odds bet.
In this situation, odds bets on the come wagers are presumed to be not working for the come-out roll.
That means that if the shooter rolls a 7 on the come-out roll, any players with active come bets waiting for a come-bet point lose their initial wager but will have their odds bets returned to them.
Winning don't come bets are paid the same as winning don't pass bets-even money for the original bet and true odds for the odds lay.
In a meeting with 8 Jewish and 8 Protestant Dutch leaders in Israel in May 2011, a statement of cooperation was issued, indicating, for the most part, that the Protestant Church recognizes the issues involved with the Palestinian Christians and that this is sometimes at odds with support for the State of Israel, but standing up for the rights of the Palestinians does not detract from the emphasis on the safety of the State of Israel and vice versa.
This was considered essential for the Conservatives, as the EPP was generally seen as quite favourable to European integration, a stance at odds with their core ideology.
At first Essendon was regarded as a junior club, and even after the formation of the VFA in 1877 the side was sometimes allowed ' odds ' of, for example, twenty-five players as against twenty, when confronted by the leading teams of the time.
) of 1959, which deals with the Battle of Stalingrad, the focus is on celebrating the heroism of the German soldier in that battle, who are shown as valiantly holding out against overwhelming odds with no mention at all of what those soldiers were fighting for, namely National Socialist ideology or the Holocaust.
In addition many bookmakers offer fixed odds on a number of non-sports related outcomes, for example the direction and extent of movement of various financial indices, the winner of television competitions such as Big Brother, and election results.
The player's odds for at least one win in those 16 rolls has not increased given a series of losses ; his odds have decreased because he has fewer iterations left to win.

odds and drawing
Playing a drawing hand has a positive expectation if the probability of catching an out is greater than the pot odds offered by the pot.
When a player holds a drawing hand, or a hand that is behind now but is likely to win if a certain card is drawn, pot odds are used to determine the expected value of that hand when the player is faced with a bet.
The expected value of a call is determined by comparing the pot odds to the odds of drawing a card that wins the pot.
When the odds of drawing a card that wins the pot are numerically higher than the pot odds, the call has a positive expectation ; on average, you win a portion of the pot that is greater than the cost of the call.
Conversely, if the odds of drawing a winning card are numerically lower than the pot odds, the call has a negative expectation, and you can expect to win less money on average than it costs to call the bet.
Her probability of drawing one of those cards is therefore 4 / 46 ( 8. 7 %), which when converted to odds is 10. 5: 1.
A common example of manipulating pot odds is make a bet to protect a made hand that discourages opponents from chasing a drawing hand.
* The opponent's betting pattern suggests the opponent may have a drawing hand and the bluff provides unfavorable pot odds to the opponent for chasing the draw.
If a player bluffs too infrequently, observant opponents will recognize that the player is betting for value and will call with very strong hands or with drawing hands only when they are receiving favorable pot odds.
In response to this second spill and drawing the connection to the first, " grumpy dog " exclaims " What are the odds?
The Englishmen won half their twelve matches, losing two and drawing four, all against the odds.
After drawing back some demands ( and working around others, like wearing their training equipment inside out so that they don't display any brands ), Portugal played their opening game against England, beating the odds and winning the game by the lone goal by Carlos Manuel, the Hero of Stuttgart ( and said to be the head of the protesting players ), which apparently opened the road to the knockout stage.
In 2008, " The estimated odds for the $ 10 million drawing are 505, 000, 000 to one.
In 2007, for the $ 10 million drawing, the PCH website said " your odds of winning are 1 in 330 million.
More recently, she tied for second place in the 2010 US Women's Championship with Anna Zatonskih ( IM Irina Krush won the title with a score of 8 / 9 ) and took second again in 2011 after drawing with Zatonskih in an " Armageddon " rapid tiebreak game ( Zatonskih won the title because as Black, she had draw odds ).

odds and another
Gambling odds don't reflect the bookies ' belief in a likely winner, so much as the other bettors ' belief, because the bettors are actually betting against one another.
1997 would find Ross and Beathard at odds with one another and would result in Ross and his staff being released.
If another sailor went through the bag, the odds were high the thief would tie the bag back using the more common reef knot, revealing the tampering, hence the name.
Most Pachinko machines employ the system, where some percentage of the possible jackpots on the digital slot machine result in the odds of hitting the next jackpot multiplying by a large amount, followed by another spin regardless of the outcome.
As a Culture citizen, he naturally plays with a style markedly different from his opponents, many of whom stack the odds against him one way or another, such as forming backroom agreements to cooperate against him ( which is allowed by the game's rules ).
Plots frequently find Archie and George at odds with one another, while Edith and Louise attempt to join forces to bring about a resolution.
Interviews and articles written by various writers, most notably Tom DeFalco and Peter David, artist Ron Frenz and editor James Owsley ( now known as Christopher Priest ) are all somewhat at odds with one another over many details about the course of events and what was agreed.
In one of the first published memoirs about life and death in the Jasenovac complex, a Croatian medical doctor and academic, Dr. Nikola Nikolić, who had been imprisoned in Camp III, described his first meeting with Filipović: “ His voice had an almost feminine quality which was at odds with his physical stature and coarse face .” Nikolić recalled standing in the second row of a group of prisoners who had been lined up to watch as another group of prisoners were herded in front of Filipović.
The sees of Rome and Constantinople were often at odds with one another, just as the Greek and Latin Churches as a whole were often at odds both politically and in things ecclesiastical.
The odds ratio ( denoted OR ) is simply the odds of being a case for one group divided by the odds of being a case for another group.
IIA implies that adding another alternative or changing the characteristics of a third alternative does not affect the relative odds between the two alternatives considered.
This system is somewhat at odds with another prominent system ( developed and promoted by Jeff Cooper ) called the " The Modern Technique of the Pistol ".
A similar event subsequently happens to the Shaggy Man, when King Kik-a-Bray of Dunkiton confers a donkey's head upon him — also in reward for cleverness, even though it's implied that Foxville and Dunkiton exist at odds with one another.
The odds ratio is the ratio of the odds of an event occurring in one group to the odds of it occurring in another group.
His choice of a Democratic circle also put him at odds with another political force in the African American community, representatives of poor, all-black areas who were associated with the political organization of Jesse M. Unruh, then an up-and-coming state assemblyman.
The Dark Kingdom of Jade is noteworthy for the proximity of Yomi, a series of hells with highly specific themes ruled over by the Yama Kings, demon monarchs at constant odds with one another.
Although he was supposedly at odds with Zavaidoc, another famous Romanian singer of the era, there is no proof that such a rivalry existed beyond pink novels and rumors.
Several episodes deal with Wesley and Mr. Belvedere, who are always at odds with one another, with Wesley constantly antagonizing Mr. Belvedere.

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