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probability and approaches
As with other branches of statistics, experimental design is pursued using both frequentist and Bayesian approaches: In evaluating statistical procedures like experimental designs, frequentist statistics studies the sampling distribution while Bayesian statistics updates a probability distribution on the parameter space.
A controversial claim of the frequentist approach is that in the " long run ," as the number of trials approaches infinity, the relative frequency will converge exactly to the true probability:
It states: " As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches 1.
In the absence of some momentum factor that makes later trees more likely to fall than earlier ones, this " domino effect " approaches zero probability.
Some interpretations of probability are associated with approaches to statistical inference, including theories of estimation and hypothesis testing.
An important guide for making these choices is the correspondence principle, which states that the predictions of quantum mechanics reduce to those of classical mechanics when a system moves to higher energies or — equivalently — larger quantum numbers, i. e. whereas a single particle exhibits a degree of randomness, in systems incorporating millions of particles averaging takes over and, at the high energy limit, the statistical probability of random behaviour approaches zero.
As n approaches infinity, the probability X < sub > n </ sub > approaches zero ; that is, by making n large enough, X < sub > n </ sub > can be made as small as is desired, and the chance of typing banana approaches 100 %.
When we consider 100 billion monkeys, the probability falls to 0. 17 %, and as the number of monkeys n increases, the value of X < sub > n </ sub > – the probability of the monkeys failing to reproduce the given text – approaches zero arbitrarily closely.
This probability approaches 0 as the string approaches infinity.
Nowadays alternative approaches for axiomatization of probability theory exist ; see “ Algebra of random variables ”, for example.
On October 29, 1986, the investigation of the Challenger accident criticized NASA for not “ estimating the probability of failure of the various elements .” Further, in January 1988, the Post-Challenger investigation recommended that “ probabilistic risk assessment approaches be applied to the Shuttle risk management program.
That is, the probability that the absolute difference is a small number, approaches zero as the number of flips becomes large.
Jaynes ' last book, Probability Theory: The Logic of Science gathers various threads of modern thinking about Bayesian probability and statistical inference, develops the notion of probability theory as extended logic, and contrasts the advantages of Bayesian techniques with the results of other approaches.
A rate is said to be achievable if there is a sequence of codes so that the maximum probability of error tends to zero as approaches infinity.
This is because in the middle of the probability range, one expects a relatively linear function-it is towards the extremes that the regression line begins to curve as it approaches asymptote ; hence, the sigmoidal distribution ( see Figure 1 ).
This law was first quantified in 1939, when researchers found that the one-year probability of death at advanced age asymptotically approaches a limit of 44 % for women and 54 % for men ..
As the gambler's wealth and available time jointly approach infinity, his probability of eventually flipping heads approaches 1, which makes the martingale betting strategy seem like a sure thing.
Both involve the sum of independent and identically-distributed random variables and show how the probability distribution of the sum approaches the normal distribution as the number of terms in the sum increases.

probability and 1
When three dice are tossed repeatedly, what is the probability that the number of aces is 0 ( or 1, or 2, or 3 )??
On this scale, 1 indicates " 100 per cent probability of God.
In information theory, one bit is typically defined as the uncertainty of a binary random variable that is 0 or 1 with equal probability, or the information that is gained when the value of such a variable becomes known.
In computational complexity theory, BPP, which stands for bounded-error probabilistic polynomial time is the class of decision problems solvable by a probabilistic Turing machine in polynomial time, with an error probability of at most 1 / 3 for all instances.
In computational complexity theory, BQP ( bounded error quantum polynomial time ) is the class of decision problems solvable by a quantum computer in polynomial time, with an error probability of at most 1 / 3 for all instances.
On any given run of the algorithm, it has a probability of at most 1 / 3 that it will give the wrong answer.
We can run the algorithm a constant number of times and take a majority vote to achieve any desired probability of correctness less than 1, using the Chernoff bound.
In Bayesian statistics, a probability can be assigned to a hypothesis that can differ from 0 or 1 if the truth value is uncertain.
Clausewitz's " fascinating trinity " ( wunderliche Dreifaltigkeit ) comprises ( 1 ) a blind impulse, located in the people and their passions, including hate and enmity, ( 2 ) free will, which belongs to the army and its leader and includes chance and probability, and ( 3 ) pure reason, which pertains to the government.
Given the first n digits of Ω and a k ≤ n, the algorithm enumerates the domain of F until enough elements of the domain have been found so that the probability they represent is within 2 < sup >-( k + 1 )</ sup > of Ω.
It has similar qualities as the Kh-55, except that its range has been extended to 5, 000 km, equipped with a 1, 000 kg conventional warhead, and has stealth features which reduces its probability of intercept.
1 is called the standard Cauchy distribution with the probability density function
If the affected bits are independently chosen at random, the probability of a two-bit error being undetected is 1 / n.
This variant too detects any single-bit error, but the probability that a two-bit error will go undetected is a little less than 1 / n.
Suppose random variable X can take value x < sub > 1 </ sub > with probability p < sub > 1 </ sub >, value x < sub > 2 </ sub > with probability p < sub > 2 </ sub >, and so on, up to value x < sub > k </ sub > with probability p < sub > k </ sub >.
For example, in a system where there is no queuing, the GoS may be that no more than 1 call in 100 is blocked ( i. e., rejected ) due to all circuits being in use ( a GoS of 0. 01 ), which becomes the target probability of call blocking, P < sub > b </ sub >, when using the Erlang B formula.
More precisely, he showed that a random graph on vertices, formed by choosing independently whether to include each edge with probability has, with probability tending to 1 as goes to infinity, at most cycles of length or less, but has no independent set of size Therefore, removing one vertex from each short cycle leaves a smaller graph with girth greater than in which each color class of a coloring must be small and which therefore requires at least colors in any coloring.
In 1972, James E. Nymann showed that the probability that k independently chosen integers are coprime is 1 / ζ ( k ).

probability and total
Sample areas in the new investigations were selected strictly by application of the principles of probability theory, so as to be representative of the total population of defined areas within calculable limits.
Together with particle density and path length, it can be used to predict the total scattering probability via the Beer-Lambert law.
Assuming that an interaction will occur ( with 100 % probability ) if the projectile hits the solid, and not at all ( 0 % probability ) if it misses, the total interaction probability for the single projectile will be the ratio of the area of the section of the solid ( the cross section, represented by ) to the total targeted area.
Thus, if is the total number of trials and is the number of trials where the event occurred, the probability of the event occurring will be approximated by the relative frequency as follows:
The total area of a histogram used for probability density is always normalized to 1.
which verifies that the total probability is 1.
" He says " the makeup of a gene pool a human population's total reservoir of alternative genes causally affects the probability of any particular ideology being adopted.
A probability measure is a measure with total measure one ( i. e., ); a probability space is a measure space with a probability measure.
* Law of total probability
If the random variable is real-valued ( or more generally, if a total order is defined for its possible values ), the cumulative distribution function gives the probability that the random variable is no larger than a given value ; in the real-valued case it is the integral of the density.
Specifically, in an environment where it is considered important to know the probability of a fraudulent login in order to accept the risk, one can ensure that the total number of possible passwords multiplied by the time taken to try each one ( assuming the greatest conceivable computing resources ) is much greater than the password lifetime.
We would expect to find the total probability by multiplying the probabilities of each of the actions, for any chosen positions of E and F. We then, using rule a ) above, have to add up all these probabilities for all the alternatives for E and F. ( This is not elementary in practice, and involves integration.
We then have a better estimation for the total probability by adding the probabilities of these two possibilities to our original simple estimate.
The sum of all resulting arrows represents the total probability of the event.
Statistics is closely related to probability theory, with which it is often grouped ; the difference is roughly that in probability theory, one starts from the given parameters of a total population to deduce probabilities pertaining to samples, but statistical inference moves in the opposite direction, inductive inference from samples to the parameters of a larger or total population.

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