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It is speculated that Bayes was elected as a Fellow of the Royal Society in 1742 on the strength of the Introduction to the Doctrine of Fluxions, as he is not known to have published any other mathematical works during his lifetime.
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is and speculated
The site of the ruins is within the borders of this village, though the expansion of the Limassol tourist area has threatened the ruins: it is speculated that some of the hotels are on top of the Amathus necropolis.
Even with respect to slavery the new citizen law of 450 BC may have had effect: it is speculated that originally Athenian fathers had been able to register for citizenship offspring had with slave women ( Hansen 1987: 53 ).
Due to a name which is unusual in Denmark, it is speculated that he was christened on the Danish " Absalon " name day, October 30.
It is speculated that his parents were wealthy enough to afford giving him an esteemed secular learning.
Although it is not known which exact Taiwanese shop is the creator of Bubble tea, several shops are speculated to be the origin.
The writers of the study had initially speculated that the reason for this is due to endocrinology with larger breasts indicating higher levels of estrogen and a sign of greater fertility, but the researchers said that " Men may be looking more often at the breasts because they are simply aesthetically pleasing, regardless of the size.
During most of its existence, the cabal ( sometimes capitalized ) steadfastly denied its own existence ; those involved would often respond " There is no Cabal " ( sometimes abbreviated as " TINC "), whenever the existence or activities of the group were speculated on in public.
It is speculated that Hewitt may have been this mystery ship, and possibly involved in the Deering crew's disappearance.
In his short story " Crabs on the Island " ( 1958 ) Anatoli Dneprov speculated on the idea that since the replication process is never 100 % accurate, leading to slight differences in the descendants, over several generations of replication the machines would be subjected to evolution similar to that of living organisms.
The earliest known map is a matter of some debate, both because the definition of " map " is not sharp and because some artifacts speculated to be maps might actually be something else.
It is often speculated that Dravidian languages are native to India.
As a philosopher Diderot speculated on free will and held a completely materialistic view of the universe ; he suggested all human behavior is determined by heredity.
It is speculated that this belief began in Denmark and spread throughout the Norse culture.
It is speculated that Microsoft engineers took advantage of their experience working on the Doom Windows 95 port to place the code in the spreadsheet program.
' Basing his reasoning on his belief that all the enzymatic material needed to produce DMT is found in the pineal gland ( see evidence in mammals ), and moreover in substantially greater concentrations than in any other part of the body, Strassman ( p. 69 ) has speculated that DMT is made in the pineal gland.
Farkas speculated that the horn should be held in a downward angle to allow the air stream to go straight into the mouthpiece, although his later text shows that air stream direction actually is either upstream or downstream and is dependent upon the ratio of upper or lower lip inside the mouthpiece, not the horn angle.
However, critics believe municipal authorities have neglected needed maintenance on the city's aging sewerage system, and have speculated that more piping features are likely to develop unless action is taken.
It is speculated that this was due to some occult papers having been found in a hansom cab, in which Westcott's connection to the Golden Dawn came to the attention of his superiors.
This rulebook is so big ( 592 pages ) that some fans speculated that it might be bulletproof, and it did indeed stop some bullets when tested by Hero Games staffers.
is and Bayes
The term Bayesian refers to Thomas Bayes ( 1702 – 1761 ), who proved a special case of what is now called Bayes ' theorem in a paper titled " An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances ".
This is an application of Bayes ' theorem.
For example, naive Bayes and linear discriminant analysis are joint probability models, whereas logistic regression is a conditional probability model.
Thomas Bayes attempted to provide a logic that could handle varying degrees of confidence ; as such, Bayesian probability is an attempt to recast the representation of probabilistic statements as an expression of the degree of confidence by which the beliefs they express are held.
Using the probability calculus of Bayes Theorem, Salmon concludes that it is very improbable that the universe was created by the type of intelligent being theists argue for.
* November 24 – Bayes ' theorem is first announced.
* Sir Isaac Newton's Method of Fluxions ( 1671 ), describing his method of differential calculus, is first published ( posthumously ) and Thomas Bayes publishes a defense of its logical foundations ( anonymously ).
The weight of evidence is the logarithm of the Bayes factor, which in this case is simply the factor by which the odds of the hypothesis changes when the observation is made.
In probability theory and statistics, Bayes ' theorem ( alternatively Bayes ' law or Bayes ' rule ) is a theorem with two distinct interpretations.
In the Bayesian interpretation, Bayes ' theorem is fundamental to Bayesian statistics, and has applications in fields including science, engineering, economics ( particularly microeconomics ), game theory, medicine and law.
The application of Bayes ' theorem to update beliefs is called Bayesian inference.
Bayes ' theorem is named for Thomas Bayes (; 1701 – 1761 ), who first suggested using the theorem to update beliefs.
Bayes ' theorem can be used to calculate the probability that the person is a woman.
Bayes ' theorem under this interpretation is most easily visualized using tree diagrams, as shown to the right.
is: Formúla Bayes
In statistics, Bayesian inference is a method of inference in which Bayes ' rule is used to update the probability estimate for a hypothesis as additional evidence is learned.
The critical point about Bayesian inference, then, is that it provides a principled way of combining new evidence with prior beliefs, through the application of Bayes ' rule.
is and was
Even the knowledge that she was losing another boy, as a mother always does when a marriage is made, did not prevent her from having the first carefree, dreamless sleep that she had known since they dropped down the canyon and into Bear Valley, way, way back there when they were crossing those other mountains.
I seized the rack and made a western-style flying-mount just in time, one of my knees mercifully landing on my duffel bag -- and merely wrecking my camera, I was to discover later -- my other knee landing on the slivery truck floor boards and -- but this is no medical report.
Meredith was irritated when the Grafin knocked at his door and told him, `` She is a great beauty!!
He speaks your language too, for he is the grandson of a chieftain on Taui who made much magic and was strong and cunning.
There was a measure of protection in its concrete walls and ceiling, but the engineers who hastily installed it were well aware that concrete is not much better than prayer, if as efficacious, when a direct hit comes along.
This is puzzling to an outsider conscious of the classic tradition of liberalism, because it is clear that these Democrats who are left-of-center are at opposite poles from the liberal Jefferson, who held that the best government was the least government.
Theirs is no mere lack of sympathy, but something closer to the passionate hatred that was directed against Fascism.
It became the sole `` subject '' of `` international law '' ( a term which, it is pertinent to remember, was coined by Bentham ), a body of legal principle which by and large was made up of what Western nations could do in the world arena.
He was, and is, with the RAND Corporation, a nonprofit pool of thinkers financed by the U.S. Air Force.
One's impulse is to say that the smell was a stink and unpleasant.
Unfortunately, it was Muzak, which automatically is piped into the public rooms, and which nolens volens had to be endured.
All but the most rabid of Confederate flag wavers admit that the Old Southern tradition is defunct in actuality and sigh that its passing was accompanied by the disappearance of many genteel and aristocratic traditions of the reputedly languid ante-bellum way of life.
One is tempted to say that, on the difference between the concepts of sovereignty in these two preambles, the worst war of the Nineteenth century was fought.
To my knowledge, Lincoln remains the only Head of State and Commander-in-Chief who, while fighting a fearful war whose issue was in doubt, proved man enough to say this publicly -- to give his foe the benefit of the fact that in all human truth there is some error, and in all our error, some truth.
Often it is recognized that all the details of the pattern may not be essential to the outcome but, because the pattern was empirically determined and not developed through theoretical understanding, one is never quite certain which behavior elements are effective, and the whole pattern becomes ritualized.
Though sex in some form or other enters into all human activity and it was a good thing that Freud emphasized this aspect of human nature, it is fantastic to explain everything in terms of sex.
The street that is full now of traffic and parked cars then and for many years drowsed on an August afternoon in the shade of the curbside trees, and silence was a weight, almost palpable, in the air.
The slave is owner, And ever was.
It is true that New England, more than any other section, was dedicated to education from the start.
Was it supposed, perchance, that A & M ( vocational training, that is ) was quite sufficient for the immigrant class which flooded that part of the New England world in the post-Civil War period, the immigrants having been brought in from Southern Europe, to work in the mills, to make up for the labor shortage caused by migration to the West??
It is from this unpromising background that the fictional private detective was recruited.
There is only one catch to this idyllic arrangement: Adam Smith was wrong.
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